The past few weeks we have looked at an overview of the U.S. economy as a whole. Now we will look at what is likely to unfold in the mortgage and real estate markets next year. Then I will go over some opportunities that come up in this stage of the real estate cycle.
Mortgage Markets and Credit
At the end 2008, probably the biggest news is the determination of the Treasury and the Fed to try to push mortgage rate lower. Six hundred billion dollars of Fannie and Freddie mortgage-backed securities and unsecured debt are to be purchased by the Fed according to their November 25th announcement.
The goal, whether it is a good idea or not, is to make it less expensive to get a mortgage. The idea is to lower debt costs to bring possible home-buyers or investors with credit to stabilize the market.
Investors have always had the role of stabilizing property values after every bust and this cycle is no different. When investors and retail buyers begin to buy up property, values will start to recover which helps the banks' balance sheets. The good news for loan officers is that the cycle so far has been pretty predictable and we have long been anticipating a new refinance boom that usually comes after federal manipulation.
The Real Estate Markets
There are a few things to keep an eye on in Houston. If housing permits continue to contract, it could be a while before the national residential real estate scene improves. Several markets such as Houston are still bucking the national trend, but, even in these markets, permits are beginning to contract which is pointing toward a slow-down as we head into 2009.
Layoffs will be the biggest indicator for Houston for next year. If there are massive job losses then the already fragile market could see a big setback.
Investment Opportunities
With all the "fear" that is surrounding the mortgage and real estate markets, there has never been a better time to buy single family residential homes. Consumer concern over the financial crisis is causing real estate prices in stable markets, such as Houston, to fall under what the market fundamentals in Houston would otherwise warrant.
With credit standards like they are right now, many investors (and most retail buyers) are out of the game because they are not able to get financing for single family homes. So now is a window of opportunity for smart investors with good credit to buy up undervalued investment properies in Houston.
Mortgage Markets and Credit
At the end 2008, probably the biggest news is the determination of the Treasury and the Fed to try to push mortgage rate lower. Six hundred billion dollars of Fannie and Freddie mortgage-backed securities and unsecured debt are to be purchased by the Fed according to their November 25th announcement.
The goal, whether it is a good idea or not, is to make it less expensive to get a mortgage. The idea is to lower debt costs to bring possible home-buyers or investors with credit to stabilize the market.
Investors have always had the role of stabilizing property values after every bust and this cycle is no different. When investors and retail buyers begin to buy up property, values will start to recover which helps the banks' balance sheets. The good news for loan officers is that the cycle so far has been pretty predictable and we have long been anticipating a new refinance boom that usually comes after federal manipulation.
The Real Estate Markets
There are a few things to keep an eye on in Houston. If housing permits continue to contract, it could be a while before the national residential real estate scene improves. Several markets such as Houston are still bucking the national trend, but, even in these markets, permits are beginning to contract which is pointing toward a slow-down as we head into 2009.
Layoffs will be the biggest indicator for Houston for next year. If there are massive job losses then the already fragile market could see a big setback.
Investment Opportunities
With all the "fear" that is surrounding the mortgage and real estate markets, there has never been a better time to buy single family residential homes. Consumer concern over the financial crisis is causing real estate prices in stable markets, such as Houston, to fall under what the market fundamentals in Houston would otherwise warrant.
With credit standards like they are right now, many investors (and most retail buyers) are out of the game because they are not able to get financing for single family homes. So now is a window of opportunity for smart investors with good credit to buy up undervalued investment properies in Houston.
About the Author:
Home Buddies is a Houston Credit Repair Coach for business and investors in real estate. Home Buddies' Credit Coaching Program takes clients through the process of restoring credit and overcomes the obstacles to financing properties and growing a portfolio.
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